Scenario Planning

By Mia

Scenario planning is a method for learning about the future by understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our world. It need us consider different central issues important to the future of our business, and extrapolate uncertain and heavily influencing driving forces.

We plan to build a mini-library in the enterprise to improve the education environment and broaden staffs' horizon.

First, what should we do when the leader cannot support our plan? We have to communicate with the leader and explain the benefits of our plan. The most important is that we have to give a budget to the leader. Second, if we do not have enough money, what should we do? So we can only buy the book which is connected to the electric power. At the same time, the trainees can communicate with the library manager and give advice to buy the necessary book. In this way, we can save much money to buy some other devices. We can buy some computers to build a more advantaged library. At the same time, we can rent some book from university library or public library to increase books. During this way, we can change our books more frequently and our trainees can read some books about other areas. Third, if the leader and library manager dissent from each other, what should we do about it? The library manager has the final decide to take some measures to improve library environment.

Scenario planning is very useful to establish a plan of risk control to widen both the receiver's and participant's perception of possible future events.