by Corrine
Scenario Planning is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. It involves aspects of systems thinking to predict future trends, both expected and unexpected situations and risks. It is extremely important nowadays in various situations, it does not only relate to the ever-changing business environments or education reform, but also the health issue.
Every year, I have to be responsible for the Departmental Staff Retreat. Last year, I had to bring about 80 staff to go to the Mainland China for a 2-day staff retreat. Though the flu was very serious in the Guangdong province, we still had to visit Shengzhen to have the Retreat. Owing to the serious attack of H5N1 and avian flu in recent years, I had to think of various situations that might occur during the 2-day activities before the trip. For instance, what should I do if one of us got a flu there? What if people forgot to bring their own sterlizing products? What if the Immigration Department did not allow some of the staff to leave Hong Kong and/or enter Shenzhen? I had to think of the solutions to different scenarios in advance so as to avoid any sudden or unexpected cases and to ensure that the trip would run smoothly.
Therefore, Scenario Planning is important for making predictions, assessing risks, and bringing something under control.
Scenario Planning is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. It involves aspects of systems thinking to predict future trends, both expected and unexpected situations and risks. It is extremely important nowadays in various situations, it does not only relate to the ever-changing business environments or education reform, but also the health issue.
Every year, I have to be responsible for the Departmental Staff Retreat. Last year, I had to bring about 80 staff to go to the Mainland China for a 2-day staff retreat. Though the flu was very serious in the Guangdong province, we still had to visit Shengzhen to have the Retreat. Owing to the serious attack of H5N1 and avian flu in recent years, I had to think of various situations that might occur during the 2-day activities before the trip. For instance, what should I do if one of us got a flu there? What if people forgot to bring their own sterlizing products? What if the Immigration Department did not allow some of the staff to leave Hong Kong and/or enter Shenzhen? I had to think of the solutions to different scenarios in advance so as to avoid any sudden or unexpected cases and to ensure that the trip would run smoothly.
Therefore, Scenario Planning is important for making predictions, assessing risks, and bringing something under control.
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